Rethinking Science, Policy
Different Technologies, Different Learning Rates: Policy implications for energy investments
Learning curves have become a robust technique for modeling technological change in energy portfolios and as inputs into forecasting models. However traditional financial strategies have been applied to energy generation portfolios without full consideration of the effect of learning rates.
About the Seminar
March 11, 2016 8:30am—10:30am
The simplicity and universality of the experience curve (or performance curve) framework led R&D managers to apply it to everything from airplane manufacturing to nuclear power plants. It has been well understood for some time that different technologies have very different learning rates, but there was little or no theory as to why. Deborah Strumsky will discuss recent work that provided insights on the underlying determinants of learning rates differences across technologies, and the extent to which policies are able to accelerate or influence them.
Dr. Strumsky will discuss the implications of her research for policies related to mitigating climate change. Learning curves have become a robust technique for modeling technological change in energy portfolios and as inputs into forecasting models. However traditional financial strategies have been applied to energy generation portfolios without full consideration of the effect of learning rates. Dr. Strumsky will offer simulation results from recent work on improved energy portfolio investment strategies, and what it may mean for technologies like photovoltaics.
Location Information
ASU Washington Center
1834 Connecticut Ave NW
Washington, DC 20009
Past Series
-
October 03, 2024 3:30pm
Carbon Removal Social [Science]
Holly Buck, Sara Nawaz, Rory Jacobson, Marcela Mulholland, Amanda Borth
-
June 04, 2024 12:00pm
Hopeful Climate Futures through Speculative Storytelling: Decolonizing Global Climate Action
Chinelo Onwualu, Joey Eschrich
-
April 29, 2024 9:00am
Public Funding, Patents, and Technology Transfer: Learning from the Contrasting Oxford and Texas Models of COVID-19 Vaccine Production and Distribution
Ken Shadlen
-
March 21, 2024 9:00am
Inspirations from European Technology Assessments: Institutions, Practices and Key Debates
Anja Bauer
-
May 10, 2024 9:00am
Adapting Federal Programs to Evolving Public Values: Insights from the Department of Energy
Darshan Karwat, Matthias Galan
-
April 30, 2024 9:00am
ASU’s Milo Space Science Institute: Increasing the World’s Access to Space
Jim Bell
-
January 22, 2024 12:00pm
Reinventing Participatory Technology Assessment
Nicholas Weller, Amanda Borth, Emily Hostetler, Jared Owens, Arthur Daemmrich
-
November 17, 2023 9:00am
“Unacceptable Costs”: Managing for biological invasions and climate risks in the US Pacific Islands
Laura Brewington
-
October 30, 2023 9:00am
Patent Data & Publicly-Funded Research: Applications, Benefits, & Misuse
Bhaven N. Sampat